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Windows Mobile to defeat Symbian by year 2010 February 09, 2006 [General] | By Edward J. R. Nokia is in panic:
... because Samsung, LG and Motorola are gaining market share in mobile phone industry rapidly - and we mean here mass market regular phones and not just smartphones, that still constitute very small part of the whole industry... We also know that Nokia is working on smartphones powered by Linux already, to replace Symbian, as Symbian replaced GEOS - an operating system which powered first Nokia Communicators. However maybe Nokia should open itself to all platforms and make also Windows Mobile phones? * * * * * Unfortunately due to Palm's decision to make Windows Mobile Treo phones, Microsoft's mobile division got very complacent, although still a lot of work is to do (and many mistakes in Windows Mobile 5.0 design made). Victory over Symbian is not a foregone conclusion yet, but here come first signs about it: year-end 2005 Symbian enjoyed a market share of 51%, followed by Linux (23%) and Microsoft's mobile OS platforms (17%) [...] Symbian will maintain leading share through 2009, but 2007 will see the beginning of Symbian's decline in share as the combined market penetration of Windows, Linux, and native Java begin to erode developer and vendor support for Symbian," said Lee Allen, report author and lead mobile analyst with TDG. At year-end 2010, Symbian's market share of advanced mobile devices will decline to approximately 22%, behind both Windows (29%) and Linux (26%). ... writes The Diffusion Group - a market research company. Contrary to what Symbian and its fans believe: the low unit cost of Symbian license, is not the most important factor - after all nobody buys a car, just because it is very cheap... This what counts is overall experience and all the possible things that users can do with the phone - both on corporate and consumer levels, and Microsoft might have licensed wireless ActiveSync protocol to Symbian vendors, but .NET technology, and familiar Windows user experience, still are exclusively available only in Windows Mobile phones. The future of Windows Mobile may be bright, but as of now Microsoft employees of mobile division are too complacent and the Direct Push technology still has not reached end users. Windows Mobile 5.0 Second Edition still is not released yet too... so all in all there is a lot of work to do yet, but at least we have already first estimation, when Symbian will be defeated: year 2010.
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